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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2025-01-18T20:29Z
Model Inputs: 2025-01-18T01:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=27.0, Lat.=32.0, Speed=915.0, HalfAngle=20.0, Time21.5=2025-01-18T05:23Z 2025-01-18T02:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=14.0, Lat.=26.0, Speed=530.0, HalfAngle=24.0, Time21.5=2025-01-18T08:01Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: (Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-01-20T20:00Z (+- 7 hours) Possible Kp index: (kp)90=3 (kp)135=5 (kp)180=5 Other Location(s) Impact: Europa Clipper with estimated shock arrival time 2025-01-22T00:30Z (Glancing Blow) Juice with estimated shock arrival time 2025-01-19T16:30Z (Glancing Blow) Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2025-01-21T11:00Z (Glancing Blow) Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2025-01-22T15:30Z (Glancing Blow) STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2025-01-20T09:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250118_052400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gif Note : Based on previous simulations (see notifications 20250118-AL-001 and 20250118-AL-002) the CME first seen in SOHO LASCO C2 at 2025-01-18T01:36Z is solely expected to have an impact at Juice. The CME first seen in SOHO LASCO C2 at 2025-01-18T02:00Z is solely expected to have an impact at missions near Earth, Europa Clipper, Lucy, and Mars. Both CMEs are expected to have an impact at STEREO A. Submitted on 2025-01-18T20:53Z by Carina Alden A Notification with ID 20250118-AL-003 was sent on 2025-01-18T21:51Z |
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